CV

Published

May 5, 2026

Contact

Employment

  • 2020–present Professor, Osaka School of International Public Policy, the University of Osaka
  • 2013–2020 Associate Professor, Osaka School of International Public Policy, the University of Osaka
  • 2007–2013 Assistant Professor in Political Science, University of North Texas (tenured, May 2013)

Education

  • 2007 Ph.D. in Political Science, Texas A&M University, US
  • 2002 M.A. in American Studies, Doshisha University, Japan
  • 2000 B.A. in Law, Doshisha University, Japan

Research and Teaching Fields

  • Political Behavior
  • Political Representation
  • Public Health

Award

  • 2024 The Best Paper Award for “Senkyo no Hindo to Tohyoritsu (The Frequency of Elections and Voter Turnout),” Japanese Association of Electoral Studies.
  • 2019 Osaka University Prize.
  • 2019 JSPS (Japan Society for the Promotion of Science) Prize.
  • 2017 The Best Paper Award for “Tohyo Kankyo to Tohyo Ritsu (Polling Stations and Voter Turnout),” Japanese Association of Electoral Studies.
  • 2013 Nikkei Keizai Bunka Tosho Sho (The Nikkei Award for Books on Economy) for Jisatu no nai Shakai he.
  • 2012 The Best Paper Award for “Shichoson Gikai ni okeru Josei no Sannyu (Female Candidates and Municipal Elections in Japan),” Japanese Association of Electoral Studies.
  • 2005 Warren E. Miller Award to attend the 2005 ICPSR Summer Program.
  • 2005 The Pi Sigma Alpha Award for the best paper presented at the 2004 Annual Meeting of the Southwestern Political Science Association for “Size of Democracy and Support for the Political System.”

Peer-reviewed Publications

Politics

  1. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Sohei Shigemura. 2026. “Generational Replacement and Voter Turnout in Japan.” Electoral Studies.
  2. Tyler Romualdi, Tyler Girard, Mathieu Turgeon, Yannick Dufresne, Takeshi Iida, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2025. “The Multidimensional Structure of Risk: How Dread and Controllability Shape Attitudes toward Artificial Intelligence.” Journal of Risk Research 1–15.
  3. Asahi Senma and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2024. “Senkyo no Hindo to Tohyoritsu (The Frequency of Elections and Voter Turnout).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies)
  4. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2024. “Jyakunenso wo Taisho toshita Firudojikken ni yoru Tohyokeihatsu no Kokakensho (Examining the effect of a Get-Out-The-Vote campaign on youth turnout by a field experiment).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies)
  5. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2023. “Senkyo Seido Kaikaku to Chiho Toshino Tohyouritusa no Shukusho (Consequences of Electoral Reform for Rural-Urban Differences in Voter Turnout).” Nenpo Seijigaku (Annuals of Japanese Political Science Association)
  6. Masataka Harada and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2023. “Intergovernmental Transfers as Magnets for Low-Income People.” Applied Economics Letters.
  7. Shuhei Kitamura and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2023. “Now or Later?: The Inter-temporal Decision-Making of Electoral Participation.” Political Behavior 45(4): 1683–1709.
  8. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Shiro Sakaiya. 2021. “Income Inequality and Income Bias in Voter Turnout.” European Journal of Political Economy 66.
  9. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Kelan Lu. 2021. “Age and Turnout in Aging Societies.” International Journal of Public Opinion Research 33(2): 398–411 (receiving financial support from Japan Center for Economic Research).
  10. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2018. “Kijituzen Touhyo Seido to Tohyoritsu (Early Voting and Voter Turnout).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies) 33(2): 58–72 (receiving financial support from Japan Center for Economic Research).
  11. Yasushi Asako and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2016. “Business Cycle and the Entry of Third-party Candidates in the US State-level Elections.” Japanese Political Science Review 3: 43–65.
  12. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2016. “Tohyo Kankyo to Tohyo Ritsu (Polling Stations and Voter Turnout).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies) 32(1): 47–60.
  13. Yasushi Asako, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Michiko Ueda. 2016. “Legislative Term Limits and Government Spending: Theory and Evidence from the United States” The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy 16(3): 1501–1538.
  14. Tony E. Carey Jr., Valerie Martinez-Ebers, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Phillip Paolino. 2016. “Eres Amigo o Enemigo? Contextual Determinants of Latinos’ Perceived Competition with African-Americans.” Urban Affairs Review 52(2): 155–181.
  15. Yasushi Asako, Takeshi Iida, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Michiko Ueda. 2015. “Dynastic Politicians: Theory and Evidence from Japan.” Japanese Journal of Political Science 16(1), 5–32.
  16. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2015. “Yoron Chosa no Kaitouritsu to Touhyoritsu no Suitei Gosa (Survey Response Rates and Estimation Errors in the Rates of Voter Turnout).” Rebaiasan (Leviathan) 57: 96–117.
  17. Regina Branton, Tony E. Carey Jr., Valerie Martinez-Ebers, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2015. “Social Protest and Policy Attitudes: The Case of the 2006 Immigrant Rallies.” American Journal of Political Science 59(2), 390–402.
  18. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Michiko Ueda, and Takayoshi Uekami. 2014. “District Population Size and Candidates’ Vote-Seeking Strategies: Evidence from Japan.” Journal of Public Opinion, Elections, and Parties 25(2), 159–177.
  19. Rene Rocha and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2014. “The Politics of Race and Voter ID Laws in the States: The Return of Jim Crow?” Political Research Quarterly 67(3), 666–679.
  20. Bethany Blackstone, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Elizabeth Oldmixon. 2014. “Israeli Attitudes on Synagogue and State.” Politics & Religion 7(1): 122–147.
  21. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2014. “Disability and Voting.” Disability and Health Journal 7: 285–291.
  22. Tony Carey, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Regina Branton, and Valerie Martinez-Ebers. 2013. “The Determinants and Political Consequences of Latinos’ Perceived Intra-Group Competition.” Politics, Groups, and Identities 1(3): 311–328.
  23. Rene Rocha and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2013. “Latino Immigration and Representation in Local Politics.” Urban Affairs Review 49(3): 353–380.
  24. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2013. “Do Politicians Shape Public Opinion?” British Journal of Political Science 43(2): 451–78.
  25. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Rene Rocha. 2012. “Racial Diversity and Public Policy in the States.” Political Research Quarterly 65(3): 600–14.
  26. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Jun-deh Wu. 2012. “Distributive Politics and Voter Turnout.” Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties 22(2): 167–85.
  27. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2012. “Government Partisanship and Human Well-being” Social Indicators Research 107(1): 127–48.
  28. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2012. “Shichoson Gikai ni okeru Josei no Sannyu (Female Candidates and Municipal Elections in Japan).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies) 28: 94–109.
  29. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2011. “Political Knowledge and the Use of Candidate Race as a Voting Cue.” American Politics Research 39(2): 380–413.
  30. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2011. “Racial Environment and Political Participation.” American Politics Research 38(3): 471–501.
  31. Takeshi Iida and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2010. “Constitutions and Public Support for Welfare Policies.” Social Science Quarterly 91(1): 42–62.
  32. Takeshi Iida, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Michiko Ueda. 2010. “Seshu Giin no Jisshou Bunseki (Empirical Analysis of Dynastic Legislators).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies) 26: 139–53.
  33. Jan Leighley and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2009. “The Implications of Class, Race and Ethnicity for Political Networks.” American Politics Research 37(5): 824–55.
  34. Kim Quaile Hill and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2008. “Church Engagement, Religious Values, and Mass-Elite Policy Agenda Agreement in Local Communities.” American Journal of Political Science 52(3): 570–84.
  35. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2007. “Population Size, Local Autonomy, and Support for the Political System.” Social Science Quarterly 88(3): 830–49.
  36. Kim Quaile Hill and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2005. “Civic Engagement and Mass-Elite Policy Agenda Agreement in American Communities.” American Political Science Review 99(2): 215–24.
  37. Junko Yano, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Yoshitaka Nishizawa. 2005. “Jichitaikibo to Jyumin no Seijisanka (City Size and Political Participation).” Sennkyo Gakkai Kiyo (Reviews of Electoral Studies) 4: 63–78.

Health

  1. Shinsuke Tanaka and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2025. “The Light of Life: The Effects of Sunlight on Suicide.” Journal of Health Economics 99: 102947.
  2. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Yumi Ishikawa, Michiko Ueda. 2022. “Economic crisis and mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan.” Journal of Affective Disorders 306: 28–31.
  3. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2022. “Is suicide underreported? Evidence from Japan.” Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology 57: 1571–1578.
  4. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Takuma Kamada. 2021. “The Great East Japan Earthquake and suicide: The long-term consequences and underlying mechanisms.” Preventive Medicine 153: 106755.
  5. Michiko Ueda, Robert Nordstrom, Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2021. Suicide and mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan. Journal of Public Health fdab113.
  6. Robert F. Veszteg, Kaori Yamakawa, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Michiko Ueda. 2021. “Acute stress does not affect economic behavior in the experimental laboratory.” PLoS ONE 16(1): e0244881.
  7. Andrew Stickley, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Hajime Sueki, Michiko Ueda. 2020. “COVID-19 preventive behaviours among people with anxiety and depressive symptoms: Findings from Japan.” Public Health 189: 91–93.
  8. Andrew Stickley, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Michiko Ueda. 2020. “Loneliness and COVID-19 preventive behaviours among Japanese adults.” Journal of Public Health 43(1): 53–60.
  9. Michiko Ueda, Andrew Stickley, Hajime Sueki, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2020. “Mental health status of the general population in Japan during the COVID‐19 pandemic.” Psychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences 74(9): 505.
  10. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Kozue Sekijima, and Michiko Ueda. 2020. “Government Spending, Recession, and Suicide: Evidence from Japan.” BMC Public Health 20: 1–8.
  11. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Myoung-jae Lee, and Michiko Ueda. 2019. “Higher Risk of Suicide on Milestone Birthdays: Evidence from Japan.” Scientific Reports 9(1): 16642.
  12. Shuntaro Ando, Satoshi Usami, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Michiko Ueda, Shinsuke Koike, Syudo Yamasaki, Shinya Fujikawa, Tsukasa Sasaki, Mariko Hiraiwa-Hasegawa, George Patton, Kiyoto Kasai, Atsushi Nishida. 2019. “Age relative to school class peers and emotional well-being in 10-year-olds.” PLoS ONE 14(3): e0214359.
  13. Michiko Ueda, Kanako Yoshikawa, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2019. “Suicide by persons with foreign background in Japan.” PLoS ONE 14(2): e0211867.
  14. Robert A. Fahey, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Michiko Ueda. 2018. “Tracking the Werther effect on social media: Emotional responses to prominent suicide deaths on twitter and subsequent increases in suicide.” Social Science & Medicine 219: 19–29.
  15. Jeremy Boo, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Michiko Ueda. 2018. “Diurnal variation in suicide timing by age and gender: Evidence from Japan across 41 years.” Journal of Affective Disorders 243: 366–374.
  16. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Kanako Yoshikawa. 2018. “Minimum Legal Drinking Age and Youth Health: Evidence from Japan.” Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs 79: 539–546.
  17. Michiko Ueda, Kota Mori, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Yasuyuki Sawada. 2017. “Tweeting celebrity suicides: Users’ reaction to prominent suicide deaths on Twitter and subsequent increases in actual suicides.” Social Science & Medicine 189: 158–166.
  18. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Michiko Ueda, and Kanako Yoshikawa. 2016. “School and Seasonality in Youth Suicide: Evidence from Japan.” Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 70: 1122–1127.
  19. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2016. “Suicides and Accidents on Birthdays: Evidence from Japan.” Social Science & Medicine 159: 61–72.
  20. Yong Woon Chung, Sung Jin Kang, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Michiko Ueda. 2016. “The Effectiveness of Platform Screen Doors for the Prevention of Subway Suicides in South Korea.” Journal of Affective Disorders 194: 80–83.
  21. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2015. “Relative Age in School and Suicide among Young Individuals in Japan: A Regression Discontinuity Approach.” PLoS ONE 10(8): e0135349.
  22. Michiko Ueda, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2015. “The Effectiveness of Installing Physical Barriers for Preventing Railway Suicides and Accidents: Evidence from Japan.” Journal of Affective Disorders 178: 1–4.
  23. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Michiko Ueda. 2014. “Does the Installation of Blue Lights on Train Platforms Shift Suicide to another Station?: Evidence from Japan.” Journal of Affective Disorders 169: 57–60.
  24. Michiko Ueda, Kota Mori, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2014. “The Effects of Media Reports of Suicides by Well-Known Figures between 1989 and 2010 in Japan.” International Journal of Epidemiology 43: 623–629.
  25. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Michiko Ueda. 2014. “The Effect of Public Awareness Campaigns on Suicides: Evidence from Nagoya, Japan.” Journal of Affective Disorders 152–154: 526–529.
  26. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Michiko Ueda. 2013. “Does the Installation of Blue Lights on Train Platforms Prevent Suicide?: A Before-and-After Observational Study from Japan.” Journal of Affective Disorders 147: 385–88.
  27. Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Michiko Ueda. 2013. “Natural Disasters and Suicides: Evidence from Japan.” Social Science & Medicine 82: 126–33.
  28. Michiko Ueda and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2013. “Fukushi Keizai Seisaku ga Jisatsu ni Ataeru Eikyo: Todoufuken reberu Deta no Bunseki (Welfare and Economic Policies and Suicide Rates: Analysis of Prefecture-level Data in Japan).” Nihon Keizai Kenkyu (Japan Economic Research) 69: 96–109.
  29. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2011. “The Effect of Government Suicide Prevention Programs on Suicide Rates.” Social Science & Medicine 73: 1395–1400.

Books

  1. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. Nyumon Gendaiseijigaku (Introduction to Political Science). Tokyo: Chuo Koran Shinsha.
  2. Takeshi Iida, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Hanako Ohmura. 2025. Seiji Kodoron (Shinpan) (Political Behavior, New Edition). Tokyo: Yuhikaku.
  3. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2023. Nani ga Tohyoritsu wo Takameruka (What, if anything, can be done to increase voter turnout). Tokyo: Yuhikaku.
  4. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2021. Seijigaku to Ingasuiron (Political Science and Causal Inference). Tokyo: Iwanami Shoten.
  5. Yasuyuki Sawada, Michiko Ueda, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2017. Economic Analysis of Suicide Prevention. Springer.
  6. Takeshi Iida, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Hanako Ohmura. 2015. Seiji Kodoron (Political Behavior). Tokyo: Yuhikaku.
  7. Yasuyuki Sawada, Michiko Ueda, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2013. Jisatu no nai Shakai wo Mezashite. Tokyo: Yuhikaku.

Other Publications

  1. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2026. “Dare ga Tohyo Surunoka (Who Votes in Japan?).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies).
  2. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2025. “Partisanship and Turnout in the 2024 General Election.” Japan Decides 2024: The Japanese General Election, eds by Kenneth M. McElwain, Robert J. Pekkanen, Daniel M. Smith.
  3. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2024. “Senkyo Kenkyu to Jyukaiki Bunseki (Regression Analysis in Electoral Studies).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies).
  4. Miki Kohara, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Shinya Kajitani. 2024. “Jyugyoin no Kenkojotai to Rodoiyoku: Chushokigyo ni okeru Kenkokeiei no Igi (Employee Health and Work Motivation: The Significance of Health Management in SMEs).” Nihon Rodo Kenkyu Zasshi (The Japanese Journal of Labour Studies) (762).
  5. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2024. “Tohyoritsu Teika no Gen’in to Sono Shohousen (The Causes of Declining Voter Turnout and Their Remedies).” Chuo Koron.
  6. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2023. “Josei Giin ga Fuereba Seiji ha Kawarunoka (Does politics change if there are more women politicians?).” Yononaka wo Shiru, Kangaeru, Kaeteiku eds. by Takashi Iida, Ayako Kondo, Yosuke Sunahara, and Satomi Maruyama. Tokyo: Yuhikaku.
  7. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Masateru Yamatani. 2022. “The Inflow of Immigrants and natives’ attitudes towards Immigration in Japan.” Comparative Public Opinion eds. by Cameron Anderson and Mathieu Turgeon. Routledge, 243–258.
  8. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Michiko Ueda. 2021. “COVID-19 ni yoru Keizai Kiki to Jisatsu.” Japanese Bulletin of Social Psychiatry 30(2): 142–150.
  9. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2016. “Survey Modes and Data Quality.” Electoral Survey Methodology, eds. by Masaru Kohno and Yoshitaka Nishizawa. New York: Routledge, 13–38.
  10. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2016. “No-opinion Options and Survey Responses.” Electoral Survey Methodology, eds. by Masaru Kohno and Yoshitaka Nishizawa. New York: Routledge, 39–56.
  11. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2014. “The Implications of Nonvoting in Japan.” The Annuals of Japanese Political Science Association I: 175–199.
  12. Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Yoshitaka Nishizawa. 2012. “Estimating the Causal Effect of Survey Modes.” G-COE GLOPE II Working Paper Series No.55.
  13. Takeshi Iida and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2011. “Senkyo Kenkyu niokeru Inga Suiron no Kenkyu Doukou (A Review on Causal Inferences in Electoral Studies).” Senkyo Kenkyu (Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies) 27 (1): 101–119.
  14. Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2009. “Shakaigakuteki Moderu no Hatten (Development of Sociological Model).” Frontier of Research on Voting Behavior, eds. by Masahiro Yamada and Takeshi Iida. Tokyo: Ohfu, 15–37.
  15. Jan E. Leighley and Tetsuya Matsubayashi. 2005. “Voter Mobilization.” Guide to Political Campaigns in America, eds. by Paul S. Herrnson. Washington D.C.: CQ Press, 300–11.

Grants as a Principal Investigator

  1. 2023–2028. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (S)).
  2. 2022–2024. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Fund for the Promotion of Joint International Research (Fostering Joint International Research (A))).
  3. 2020–2023. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)).
  4. 2017–2020. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)).
  5. 2016–2018. The Telecommunications Advancement Foundation.
  6. 2016–2018. Japan Center for Economic Research.
  7. 2014–2017. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)).
  8. 2014–2015. Itochube Foundation.